Alcione 2-1 Pinerolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pinerolo The Market 52%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
-22% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
2-1
AWAY Pinerolo
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Pinerolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione nicked a narrow win over Pinerolo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Alcione made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcione had 61% of the ball to Pinerolo's 39%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Pinerolo?

Alcione 2-1 Pinerolo in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Pinerolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pinerolo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alcione 31%, draw 30%, Pinerolo 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pinerolo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
3 Mar 2024
16:30 Albenga vs Ligorna Analysis →
16:30 Orvietana Calcio vs Sangiovannese Analysis →
16:30 Sammaurese vs AC Fanfulla 1874 Analysis →
16:30 Mezzolara vs Sant Angelo Analysis →
16:30 Tivoli vs Campobasso Analysis →
16:30 Avezzano vs Termoli Calcio Analysis →