Pianese 0-1 Mobilieri Ponsacco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
31%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
56%
-13.4pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mobilieri Ponsacco The Market 25%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
424 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Mobilieri Ponsacco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mobilieri Ponsacco edged past Pianese 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Pianese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Mobilieri Ponsacco?

Pianese 0-1 Mobilieri Ponsacco in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Mobilieri Ponsacco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pianese 42%, draw 33%, Mobilieri Ponsacco 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pianese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pianese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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