RG Ticino 3-1 Fezzanese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No
64%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
32%
+11.2pp
19%
Draw
27%
-7.4pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RG Ticino The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fezzanese The Market 45%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
3.47/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+150% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RG Ticino
3-1
AWAY Fezzanese
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH RG Ticino vs Fezzanese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RG Ticino saw off Fezzanese 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RG Ticino as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RG Ticino had 51% of the ball to Fezzanese's 49%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of RG Ticino vs Fezzanese?

RG Ticino 3-1 Fezzanese in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RG Ticino vs Fezzanese?

Before kick-off our model rated a RG Ticino win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split RG Ticino 43%, draw 19%, Fezzanese 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RG Ticino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RG Ticino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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