Cobresal 2-1 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-6.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.50/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.02
+55% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.9 Crosses 22.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Universidad Chile
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.69 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
284 Passes 361
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Cobresal Cobresal 3-3 HT 1-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
26.03.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-2 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
04.12.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 4-3 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
16.05.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
05.11.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-4 HT 3-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
23.08.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
2-1
AWAY Universidad Chile
2.56 xG 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
22 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 11
240 Passes 382
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal nicked a narrow win over Universidad Chile 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Cobresal had 40% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 60%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 2.56 to 0.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cobresal's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobresal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cobresal and 2.00 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs Universidad Chile?

Cobresal 2-1 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 30%, draw 24%, Universidad Chile 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universidad Chile) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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