Union La Calera 2-2 O Higgins — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY O Higgins EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.20/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.06
+44% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
16.4 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
1W-3D-2L
AWAY O Higgins
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
270 Passes 257
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2024 O Higgins O Higgins 1-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.04.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-3 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
01.10.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
17.04.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-1 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
14.09.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 2-2 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
19.04.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
2-2
AWAY O Higgins
0.80 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
312 Passes 297
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs O Higgins
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera and O Higgins couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 50% of the ball to O Higgins's 50%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 0.80 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Higgins led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union La Calera and 1.17 for O Higgins.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs O Higgins?

Union La Calera 2-2 O Higgins in the Chile - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs O Higgins?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 39%, draw 30%, O Higgins 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
3 Mar 2025
00:00 Cobresal vs Universidad Chile Analysis →