Arda Kardzhali 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-12.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.85/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.79
+74% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
20.05.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
29.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
24.01.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali HAZ
14.12.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
27.11.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1-0
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali squeezed past CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Arda Kardzhali found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 44% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 56%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.17 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 37%, draw 31%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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