Slavia Sofia 3-2 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.58/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.96
+62% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
20.05.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-1 HT 2-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
27.04.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
02.03.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
01.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-1 HT 3-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
29.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
3-2
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia edged past Botev Plovdiv 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Slavia Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 51% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 49%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.17 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Slavia Sofia 3-2 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 37%, draw 30%, Botev Plovdiv 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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