Sporting CP 3-1 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

Sporting CP
3-1 HT 2-0
Estoril
📅03/03/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Sporting CP vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.21
Over
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
21%
4.22
2-3
41%
1.86
4-5
26%
2.86
6+
12%
8.34
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.22 — our 21% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.3
X/1
22%
3.78
X/2
5%
15.9
X/X
9%
7.22
2/1
7%
21.3
2/2
5%
13.5
2/X
6%
22.1
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Sporting CP v Estoril — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril The Market 15%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
2.28/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.70
+10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
23.7 Crosses 11.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Sporting CP vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Estoril
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.25 xG 0.45
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
496 Passes 273
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-3 HT 0-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
11.05.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
05.01.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-1 HT 2-0 Estoril Estoril POR
27.02.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
02.09.2022 Estoril Estoril 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
20.02.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR

Sporting CP 3-1 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
3-1
AWAY Estoril
2.70 xG 0.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
266 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Sporting CP vs Estoril
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sporting CP saw off Estoril 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Estoril saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.70 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Sporting CP against 0.17 for Estoril.

Sporting CP vs Estoril Result & Final Score

Sporting CP 3-1 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sporting CP vs Estoril Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 64%, draw 20%, Estoril 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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