Ben Guerdane 2-2 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.4pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 46%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.30/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.21
-70% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ben Guerdane
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-1 HT 1-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
26.05.2024 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 3-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
03.03.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 3-1 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
22.01.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 1-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
26.10.2022 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
27.02.2021 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
POST-MATCH Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ben Guerdane and ES Metlaoui couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 37% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ben Guerdane and 1.00 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui?

Ben Guerdane 2-2 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 31%, draw 37%, ES Metlaoui 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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