İtalya (K) 0-1 İsveç (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 3 Mar 2026

İtalya (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
İsveç (K)
📅03/03/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Women's World Cup – 2027

İtalya (K) vs İsveç (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
24%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.2pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya (K) v İsveç (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

İtalya (K) vs İsveç (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya (K)
1W-2D-3L
AWAY İsveç (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.95 xG 1.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
278 Passes 264
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.05.2025 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) AVKUL
04.04.2025 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 3-2 HT 0-1 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) AVKUL
31.10.2023 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) AVKUL
26.09.2023 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) AVKUL
29.07.2023 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) KDK
09.10.2018 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) HAZ

İtalya (K) 0-1 İsveç (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya (K)
0-1
AWAY İsveç (K)
0.92 xG 0.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
313 Passes 219
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya (K) vs İsveç (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsveç (K) edged past İtalya (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had İsveç (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, İtalya (K) had 58% of the ball to İsveç (K)'s 42%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.92 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İsveç (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for İtalya (K) and 1.67 for İsveç (K).

What was the final score of İtalya (K) vs İsveç (K)?

İtalya (K) 0-1 İsveç (K) in the Women's World Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya (K) vs İsveç (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İsveç (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split İtalya (K) 34%, draw 22%, İsveç (K) 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İsveç (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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