Podbrezova 4-1 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
46%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
46%
Away Win
33%
+12.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 37%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.00
-1% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbrezova
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 1.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 323
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2026 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-5 HT 0-2 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
03.12.2025 Podbrezova Podbrezova 1-3 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
17.05.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-1 HT 0-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
12.04.2025 Podbrezova Podbrezova 1-2 HT 1-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
23.02.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
14.11.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbrezova
4-1
AWAY Spartak Trnava
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbrezova swept aside Spartak Trnava 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Trnava at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Podbrezova had 64% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 36%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Podbrezova and 1.50 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava?

Podbrezova 4-1 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia - Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Podbrezova 32%, draw 22%, Spartak Trnava 46%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Trnava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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