Podbrezova 1-3 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 26% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.37/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.09
-28% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
16.6 Crosses 21.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbrezova
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.12 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-1 HT 0-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
12.04.2025 Podbrezova Podbrezova 1-2 HT 1-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
23.02.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
14.11.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLOVK
05.10.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-4 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
17.04.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbrezova
1-3
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.63 xG 1.88
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
433 Passes 219
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava got the better of Podbrezova 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Podbrezova had 64% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 36%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.63 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Podbrezova and 1.67 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava?

Podbrezova 1-3 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia Super League on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Podbrezova 30%, draw 26%, Spartak Trnava 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ BTTS Yes
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