Spartak Trnava 2-1 Podbrezova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
24%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
3.06
No
45%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
80%
-25.9pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.7pp
25%
Away Win
6%
+18.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
28%
+26.8pp
45%
BTTS No
72%
-26.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.80/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.80
-9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.8 Crosses 10.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Podbrezova
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.60 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Podbrezova Podbrezova 1-2 HT 1-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
23.02.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
14.11.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLOVK
05.10.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-4 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
17.04.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
03.04.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-0 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
2-1
AWAY Podbrezova
1.62 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
311 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Podbrezova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava nicked a narrow win over Podbrezova 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 50% of the ball to Podbrezova's 50%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.62 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spartak Trnava and 0.50 for Podbrezova.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Podbrezova?

Spartak Trnava 2-1 Podbrezova in the Slovakia Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Podbrezova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 54%, draw 22%, Podbrezova 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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