Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-3 Zemplin Michalovce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.40/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.29
+16% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.3 Crosses 18.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
306 Passes 310
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 3-3 HT 0-2 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
23.02.2025 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
06.10.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-0 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
26.04.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
13.04.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-1 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
11.11.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-1 HT 2-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
2-3
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
2.47 xG 2.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 1
313 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Zemplin Michalovce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zemplin Michalovce squeezed past Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dukla Banska Bystrica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dukla Banska Bystrica had 49% of the ball to Zemplin Michalovce's 51%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.47 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zemplin Michalovce led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dukla Banska Bystrica and 1.33 for Zemplin Michalovce.

What was the final score of Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-3 Zemplin Michalovce in the Slovakia Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Banska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dukla Banska Bystrica 41%, draw 25%, Zemplin Michalovce 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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