Trencin 2-0 Skalica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trencin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Skalica EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.68/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.38
+27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.2 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trencin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Skalica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 0.80
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
409 Passes 196
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 Skalica Skalica 1-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
01.03.2025 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
19.10.2024 Trencin Trencin 2-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
27.04.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-4 HT 0-3 Trencin Trencin SLVK
16.03.2024 Trencin Trencin 1-3 HT 1-3 Skalica Skalica SLVK
02.03.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trencin
2-0
AWAY Skalica
0.85 xG 0.71
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
272 Passes 391
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Trencin vs Skalica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trencin got the better of Skalica 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trencin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Trencin had 43% of the ball to Skalica's 57%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.85 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Trencin and 0.83 for Skalica.

What was the final score of Trencin vs Skalica?

Trencin 2-0 Skalica in the Slovakia Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trencin vs Skalica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trencin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Trencin 41%, draw 26%, Skalica 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trencin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trencin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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