Adanaspor 1-0 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.8
1/2
10%
23.15
1/X
5%
19.05
X/1
6%
13.35
X/2
12%
3.55
X/X
19%
6.03
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.78
2/X
6%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+5.2pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.5pp
49%
Away Win
64%
-14.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 69%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.01/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.91
-26% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
17.7 Crosses 25.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Eyüpspor
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.49 xG 2.27
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
205 Passes 372
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 4-1 HT 2-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
11.09.2022 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
21.03.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
22.10.2021 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
04.01.2009 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-4 HT 0-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor BELC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
1-0
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.25 xG 1.79
25% Ball Possession 75%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 13
119 Passes 488
62% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 37
6 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor squeezed past Eyüpspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Eyüpspor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Adanaspor had 25% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 75%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 1.25 to 1.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Eyüpspor.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Eyüpspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Adanaspor and 2.20 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Eyüpspor?

Adanaspor 1-0 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 20%, draw 30%, Eyüpspor 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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