Kocaelispor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kocaelispor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals
Kocaelispor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Kocaelispor
T1L
1-2
HT 1-1
Kocaelispor
TSL
1-3
HT 0-0
Göztepe
TSL
3-0
HT 2-0
Kocaelispor
TSL
2-0
HT 2-0
Göztepe
TSL
Kocaelispor 3-2 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics
Kocaelispor edged past Göztepe 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Kocaelispor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kocaelispor had 53% of the ball to Göztepe's 47%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 3.31 to 1.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kocaelispor's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Kocaelispor and 1.40 for Göztepe.
What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
Kocaelispor 3-2 Göztepe in the Turkey - 1st Division on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 35%, draw 31%, Göztepe 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.