Altay 0-6 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
63%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
49%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.2
6+ Goals
7%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 24% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
25.5
1/2
4%
29.0
1/X
4%
33.0
X/1
5%
28.5
X/2
26%
3.12
X/X
14%
7.97
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.38
2/X
6%
32.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.0pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.6pp
62%
Away Win
79%
-16.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altay EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 84%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
0.31/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.90
-71% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -64%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
12.3 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altay
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.72 xG 1.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Altay Altay T1L
09.04.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Altay Altay T1L
05.11.2022 Altay Altay 1-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
09.05.2021 Altay Altay 4-3 HT 3-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
03.01.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Altay Altay T1L
01.04.2018 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Altay Altay S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altay
0-6
AWAY Bandırmaspor
0.48 xG 4.71
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 30
4 Shots on Target 14
1 Corners 6
189 Passes 357
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 47
12 Crosses 33
POST-MATCH Altay vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor ran out comfortable winners over Altay 6-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Altay had 38% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 62%, shots finished 8-30, expected goals 0.48 to 4.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Altay and 1.83 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Altay vs Bandırmaspor?

Altay 0-6 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altay vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Altay 13%, draw 24%, Bandırmaspor 62%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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