Olympiakos 3-0 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 Apr 2024

Olympiakos
3-0 HT 1-0
Aris Saloniki
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.0
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 22% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.95
X/1
20%
3.43
X/2
6%
17.45
X/X
14%
6.73
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
10%
14.35
2/X
5%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-17.3pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.2pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olympiakos v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
2.16/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.57
+33% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
22.8 Crosses 8.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.00 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
399 Passes 338
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 0-2 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
27.09.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
26.04.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
02.04.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
25.01.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
18.01.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK

Olympiakos 3-0 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
3-0
AWAY Aris Saloniki
2.57 xG 0.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
430 Passes 360
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos ran out comfortable winners over Aris Saloniki 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Olympiakos had 54% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 46%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.57 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Olympiakos and 1.00 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki?

Olympiakos 3-0 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 53%, draw 27%, Aris Saloniki 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ BTTS Yes
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