Jamshedpur 2-1 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +23%
1.39/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.84
-13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +61%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
20.8 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamshedpur
1W-2D-3L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
239 Passes 358
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.01.2025 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-1 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
23.11.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 HT 2-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
01.03.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
01.11.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-3 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.04.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-0 HT 2-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HINSK
09.02.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 0-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamshedpur
2-1
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
0.62 xG 0.84
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
108 Passes 454
55% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur nicked a narrow win over ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was ATK Mohun Bagan at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jamshedpur had 27% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 73%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.62 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jamshedpur and 1.67 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Jamshedpur 2-1 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 26%, draw 23%, ATK Mohun Bagan 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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