Shrewsbury 1-0 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.33
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
10%
4.82
X/2
8%
6.13
X/X
13%
3.97
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
15%
4.8
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
0.97/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.43
-38% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
247 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 65%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.1 Crosses 18.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
211 Passes 250
64% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
25.02.2020 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-3 HT 0-2 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
05.10.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
09.10.2018 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 6-0 HT 3-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İNTK
01.08.2015 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-4 HT 0-2 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury HAZ
21.02.2015 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-1 HT 2-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
1-0
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
2.74 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
137 Passes 112
55% Pass Accuracy 49%
28 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shrewsbury squeezed past Tranmere Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shrewsbury as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 52% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 48%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.74 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shrewsbury's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.67 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Tranmere Rovers?

Shrewsbury 1-0 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shrewsbury win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 44%, draw 27%, Tranmere Rovers 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shrewsbury), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shrewsbury) ✓ Under 2.5
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