Newport County 0-2 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Apr 2026

Newport County
0-2 HT 0-0
Crawley Town
📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Newport County vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 34% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.51
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.36
X/2
11%
5.91
X/X
8%
4.48
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.08
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport County v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.32/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.40
+13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
255 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 68%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.8 Crosses 14.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Newport County vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport County
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Crawley Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.05 xG 1.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
215 Passes 301
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2025 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
01.04.2024 Newport County Newport County 0-4 HT 0-2 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
09.09.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 4-1 HT 1-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
02.01.2023 Newport County Newport County 2-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
15.10.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
15.04.2022 Newport County Newport County 1-2 HT 0-2 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2

Newport County 0-2 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
0-2
AWAY Crawley Town
1.05 xG 2.04
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
281 Passes 196
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town got the better of Newport County 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Newport County at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Newport County had 57% of the ball to Crawley Town's 43%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.05 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newport County and 2.50 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Crawley Town?

Newport County 0-2 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newport County 43%, draw 24%, Crawley Town 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newport County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newport County) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
3 Apr 2026
17:00 Walsall vs Gillingham Analysis →
17:00 Grimsby Town vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
17:00 Barnet vs Bromley Analysis →
17:00 Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra Analysis →
17:00 Shrewsbury vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Milton Keynes Dons vs Barrow Analysis →