Crawley Town vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crawley Town v Newport County — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
Newport County
İN2
2-2
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
İN2
2-1
HT 1-0
Newport County
İN2
1-2
HT 0-2
Crawley Town
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Newport County
İN2
Crawley Town 1-2 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics
Newport County squeezed past Crawley Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Crawley Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Crawley Town had 61% of the ball to Newport County's 39%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.96 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Crawley Town and 1.00 for Newport County.
What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Newport County?
Crawley Town 1-2 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Newport County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 53%, draw 24%, Newport County 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.