Fleetwood Town 2-1 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.46
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
18%
5.19
X/2
10%
6.0
X/X
10%
4.36
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.34
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +21%
1.27/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.42
-35% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 73%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
15.4 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.19
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
218 Passes 316
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
06.02.2024 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
10.04.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
12.11.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-2 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
06.02.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
14.11.2020 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-4 HT 0-2 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
2-1
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.17 xG 1.82
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
142 Passes 287
59% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town squeezed past Bristol Rovers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fleetwood Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 38% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 62%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.17 to 1.82 — on chances, Bristol Rovers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fleetwood Town and 0.83 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers?

Fleetwood Town 2-1 Bristol Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 42%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fleetwood Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
9 Aug 2025
14:30 Tranmere Rovers vs Shrewsbury Analysis →
14:30 Notts County vs Salford City Analysis →
17:00 Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town Analysis →
17:00 Gillingham vs Walsall Analysis →
17:00 Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons Analysis →
17:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →