Harrogate Town 3-3 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.15
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
16%
6.71
X/2
10%
4.73
X/X
14%
4.38
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
21%
3.02
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -18%
1.31/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.98
+16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 65%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
18.5 Crosses 17.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 Passes 234
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
26.12.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
09.04.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
23.12.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
21.02.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
26.12.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
3-3
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.21 xG 1.19
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
173 Passes 335
62% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town and Grimsby Town shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 38% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 62%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.21 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.17 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town?

Harrogate Town 3-3 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 34%, draw 27%, Grimsby Town 39%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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