Harrogate Town 1-0 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.5
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
10%
6.19
X/2
10%
4.92
X/X
13%
4.32
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.26
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.33/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.13
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
236 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 63%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
18.1 Crosses 19.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
251 Passes 256
66% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
21.02.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
26.12.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
27.02.2021 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
20.10.2020 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
08.09.2020 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
1-0
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.19 xG 0.80
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
290 Passes 112
71% Pass Accuracy 47%
17 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town nicked a narrow win over Grimsby Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Harrogate Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 63% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 37%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.19 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.00 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town?

Harrogate Town 1-0 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harrogate Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 37%, draw 29%, Grimsby Town 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harrogate Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Harrogate Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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