Wrexham 4-1 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Apr 2024

Wrexham
4-1 HT 2-0
Crawley Town
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Wrexham vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
15%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
13%
4.09
X/2
8%
10.2
X/X
13%
6.07
2/1
11%
20.6
2/2
13%
7.17
2/X
10%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.86/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.66
+56% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
28.9 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Wrexham vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Crawley Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.88
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
216 Passes 536
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
15.02.2011 Wrexham Wrexham 0-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İBSL
12.02.2011 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-2 HT 0-2 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
20.02.2010 Wrexham Wrexham 2-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İBSL
15.08.2009 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
21.03.2009 Wrexham Wrexham 0-2 HT 0-2 Crawley Town Crawley Town İBSL

Wrexham 4-1 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
4-1
AWAY Crawley Town
2.69 xG 0.52
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
242 Passes 595
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
23 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham cruised past Crawley Town 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Wrexham had 33% of the ball to Crawley Town's 67%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.69 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wrexham and 1.00 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Crawley Town?

Wrexham 4-1 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 45%, draw 28%, Crawley Town 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
9 Apr 2024
21:45 Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town Analysis →
21:45 Newport County vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
21:45 Doncaster Rovers vs Walsall Analysis →
21:45 Mansfield Town vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
21:45 Morecambe vs Crewe Alexandra Analysis →
21:45 Colchester vs Stockport County Analysis →