Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Apr 2024

Doncaster Rovers
2-1 HT 1-0
Walsall
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Doncaster Rovers vs Walsall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 24% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.22
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
12%
5.05
X/2
13%
6.18
X/X
10%
4.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
21%
4.28
2/X
10%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Doncaster Rovers v Walsall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.29/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.29
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 63%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.9 Crosses 15.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Doncaster Rovers vs Walsall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Walsall
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.87 xG 2.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
392 Passes 200
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Walsall Walsall 3-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
08.05.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
02.12.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
10.08.2021 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNLK
30.03.2019 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-1 HT 3-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
15.09.2018 Walsall Walsall 1-4 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1

Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Walsall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2-1
AWAY Walsall
1.69 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
295 Passes 193
71% Pass Accuracy 62%
15 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers nicked a narrow win over Walsall 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Doncaster Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 57% of the ball to Walsall's 43%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.69 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.50 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Walsall?

Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 35%, draw 25%, Walsall 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walsall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
9 Apr 2024
21:45 Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town Analysis →
21:45 Newport County vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
21:45 Mansfield Town vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
21:45 Morecambe vs Crewe Alexandra Analysis →
21:45 Colchester vs Stockport County Analysis →
21:45 Wrexham vs Crawley Town Analysis →