Mansfield Town 1-0 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Apr 2024

Mansfield Town
1-0 HT 1-0
Forest Green Rovers
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Mansfield Town vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
14%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.7
X/1
16%
3.59
X/2
8%
16.25
X/X
6%
7.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.2
2/2
8%
12.2
2/X
9%
20.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mansfield Town v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +20%
2.13/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.56
+17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
384 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 72%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
27.2 Crosses 12.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Mansfield Town vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
243 Passes 294
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-4 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
07.05.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
05.04.2022 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
23.03.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
14.11.2020 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 0-2 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
11.01.2020 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 3-4 HT 2-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2

Mansfield Town 1-0 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
1-0
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
0.94 xG 0.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
401 Passes 235
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town squeezed past Forest Green Rovers 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mansfield Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 59% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 41%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 0.94 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.33 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

Mansfield Town 1-0 Forest Green Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 57%, draw 21%, Forest Green Rovers 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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