Forest Green Rovers 0-4 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

Forest Green Rovers
0-4 HT 0-1
Mansfield Town
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Forest Green Rovers vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.78
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.3
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
11%
7.97
X/2
14%
4.36
X/X
12%
4.86
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.47
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.3 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 54%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
0.97/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.10
-50% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
222 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
18.3 Crosses 22.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Forest Green Rovers vs Mansfield Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 Passes 221
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.05.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
05.04.2022 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
23.03.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
14.11.2020 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 0-2 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
11.01.2020 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 3-4 HT 2-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
19.10.2019 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-2 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2

Forest Green Rovers 0-4 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
0-4
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.60 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 7
325 Passes 342
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town cruised past Forest Green Rovers 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mansfield Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 50% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 50%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.60 to 0.93 — the balance of chances actually favoured Forest Green Rovers.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.50 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Mansfield Town?

Forest Green Rovers 0-4 Mansfield Town in the England - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 27%, draw 27%, Mansfield Town 46%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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