Notts County 1-2 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Aug 2025

Notts County
1-2 HT 0-1
Salford City
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Notts County vs Salford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
12%
4.89
X/2
12%
7.08
X/X
11%
4.99
2/1
6%
23.95
2/2
14%
5.02
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Salford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.43/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.23
-16% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
24.8 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Notts County vs Salford City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Salford City
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.07 xG 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
342 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.04.2025 Notts County Notts County 1-3 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
14.12.2024 Salford City Salford City 3-0 HT 2-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
23.03.2024 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
15.09.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
06.11.2015 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County FAK

Notts County 1-2 Salford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
1-2
AWAY Salford City
0.69 xG 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
282 Passes 168
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City edged past Notts County 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Notts County at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Notts County had 58% of the ball to Salford City's 42%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.69 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Salford City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Notts County and 2.00 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Salford City?

Notts County 1-2 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Notts County 42%, draw 24%, Salford City 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Notts County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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