Gillingham 1-0 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
5.58
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.37
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
11%
4.66
X/2
8%
6.39
X/X
18%
3.51
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
14%
5.45
2/X
8%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.26/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.22
-15% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
264 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 64%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.8 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Walsall
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 Passes 191
66% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2025 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
11.02.2025 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
03.02.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
14.10.2023 Walsall Walsall 4-1 HT 2-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
18.03.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
20.08.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-0
AWAY Walsall
0.47 xG 0.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
226 Passes 159
69% Pass Accuracy 60%
15 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham nicked a narrow win over Walsall 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gillingham as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Gillingham had 56% of the ball to Walsall's 44%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.47 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gillingham and 1.33 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Walsall?

Gillingham 1-0 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 41%, draw 31%, Walsall 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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