Walsall 1-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.4
X/1
23%
3.83
X/2
7%
10.9
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
6%
9.76
2/X
9%
18.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.80/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.33
+0% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
24.5 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gillingham
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.48 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
196 Passes 254
62% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
14.10.2023 Walsall Walsall 4-1 HT 2-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
18.03.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
20.08.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
19.01.2019 Gillingham Gillingham 0-3 HT 0-2 Walsall Walsall İN1
18.08.2018 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 2-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
1-1
AWAY Gillingham
1.16 xG 0.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
183 Passes 223
60% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall and Gillingham shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Walsall at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Walsall had 49% of the ball to Gillingham's 51%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.16 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Walsall and 0.50 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Gillingham?

Walsall 1-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Walsall 52%, draw 30%, Gillingham 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Walsall), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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