AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.46
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
12%
4.09
X/2
6%
8.59
X/X
20%
4.04
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
10%
7.6
2/X
6%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.8pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.45/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.32
+11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 66%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.1 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
215 Passes 257
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2025 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
23.03.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
16.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
07.01.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
25.10.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
15.04.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-1 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
3-0
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.59 xG 0.13
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 3
405 Passes 236
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 6
11 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon cruised past Crewe Alexandra 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Wimbledon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 59% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 41%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.59 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 1.33 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe Alexandra?

AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 45%, draw 32%, Crewe Alexandra 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Wimbledon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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