Bradford City 1-0 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.02
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
10%
3.96
X/2
10%
10.65
X/X
11%
5.15
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
9%
9.07
2/X
8%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.63/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.47
-24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 64%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
24.9 Crosses 18.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
229 Passes 269
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
31 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-3 HT 0-3 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
25.11.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
08.08.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İNLK
01.01.2019 Bradford City Bradford City 3-0 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
13.10.2018 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
05.11.2016 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 0-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-0
AWAY Accrington Stanley
0.28 xG 0.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
231 Passes 263
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
11 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City edged past Accrington Stanley 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bradford City had 48% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 52%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.28 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bradford City and 1.00 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Accrington Stanley?

Bradford City 1-0 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 48%, draw 26%, Accrington Stanley 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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