Accrington Stanley 0-3 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 33% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.12
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
13%
7.79
X/2
11%
4.19
X/X
13%
4.5
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.58
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-10.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -31%
1.06/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.19
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
230 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 70%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
18.9 Crosses 23.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.68 xG 0.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
238 Passes 234
64% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
08.08.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İNLK
01.01.2019 Bradford City Bradford City 3-0 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
13.10.2018 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
05.11.2016 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 0-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley FAK
09.08.2016 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
0-3
AWAY Bradford City
0.64 xG 1.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
330 Passes 219
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
12 Box Touches 46
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City swept aside Accrington Stanley 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Bradford City made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 57% of the ball to Bradford City's 43%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 0.64 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.17 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Bradford City?

Accrington Stanley 0-3 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 35%, draw 27%, Bradford City 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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