Barrow 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
11%
4.75
X/2
12%
6.56
X/X
16%
4.19
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.08
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.24/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.28
+3% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.8 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
338 Passes 340
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Barrow Barrow 1-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
14.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 2-2 HT 2-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
2-1
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
1.56 xG 1.32
28% Ball Possession 72%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
155 Passes 584
61% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow nicked a narrow win over Milton Keynes Dons 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Barrow found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barrow had 28% of the ball to Milton Keynes Dons's 72%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.56 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barrow had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barrow and 1.00 for Milton Keynes Dons.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Barrow 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons in the England - 2nd Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Barrow 39%, draw 30%, Milton Keynes Dons 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barrow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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