Barrow 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.5
6+ Goals
10%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.44
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
11%
4.8
X/2
12%
5.75
X/X
15%
4.04
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
15%
4.43
2/X
10%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.17/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.23
-21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
241 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
20.5 Crosses 20.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.59 xG 2.15
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
438 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 2-2 HT 2-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
1-0
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
1.82 xG 0.71
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
237 Passes 437
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow squeezed past Milton Keynes Dons 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Barrow made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Barrow had 40% of the ball to Milton Keynes Dons's 60%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.82 to 0.71.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Barrow 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons in the England - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barrow 36%, draw 31%, Milton Keynes Dons 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barrow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
3 Feb 2024
15:45 Newport County vs Swindon Town Analysis →
18:00 Gillingham vs Walsall Analysis →
18:00 Crawley Town vs Morecambe Analysis →
18:00 Bradford City vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
18:00 Sutton United vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Accrington Stanley vs Grimsby Town Analysis →