Crewe Alexandra 1-1 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2025

Crewe Alexandra
1-1 HT 1-1
AFC Wimbledon
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.03
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.58
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
5.33
X/2
12%
5.57
X/X
13%
3.4
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.39
2/X
9%
14.25
Value flag · X/1 at 5.33 — our 22% vs market 14.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crewe Alexandra v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.24/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.93
+25% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
241 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 69%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.1 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1W-4D-1L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
286 Passes 215
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
16.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
07.01.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
25.10.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
15.04.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-1 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
23.11.2021 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-2 HT 3-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1

Crewe Alexandra 1-1 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1-1
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.88 xG 0.96
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
91 Passes 295
44% Pass Accuracy 69%
9 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra and AFC Wimbledon shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 32% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 68%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.88 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.33 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon?

Crewe Alexandra 1-1 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 36%, draw 31%, AFC Wimbledon 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Crewe Alexandra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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