Bradford City 1-0 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.96
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.2
X/1
20%
3.87
X/2
6%
11.25
X/X
12%
5.14
2/1
11%
24.3
2/2
9%
9.85
2/X
8%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.70/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.63
-22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
272 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 63%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
25.4 Crosses 16.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Morecambe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.48
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 130
76% Pass Accuracy 57%
25 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 1-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City FAK
01.10.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 1-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
26.12.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 2-2 HT 0-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
19.08.2023 Morecambe Morecambe 3-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
08.05.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 2-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
16.02.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-0
AWAY Morecambe
1.42 xG 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
277 Passes 278
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City nicked a narrow win over Morecambe 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bradford City had 50% of the ball to Morecambe's 50%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.42 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morecambe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bradford City and 1.67 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Morecambe?

Bradford City 1-0 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 51%, draw 27%, Morecambe 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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