Swindon Town 3-1 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.3
X/2
8%
8.33
X/X
11%
4.56
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
11%
6.78
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.34/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.50
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
255 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 64%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.4 Crosses 19.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 Passes 251
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
27.02.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-1 HT 2-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
23.12.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
10.04.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
12.11.2022 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
08.02.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
3-1
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
2.06 xG 0.21
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
370 Passes 125
80% Pass Accuracy 59%
34 Box Touches 5
34 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swindon Town vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town got the better of Tranmere Rovers 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Swindon Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Swindon Town had 69% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 31%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.06 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swindon Town and 1.50 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Swindon Town 3-1 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 52%, draw 24%, Tranmere Rovers 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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