Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.76
X/2
11%
6.17
X/X
12%
4.29
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.63
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.08/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.44
-4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
274 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 69%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.2 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Swindon Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.15
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 416
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-1 HT 2-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
23.12.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
10.04.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
12.11.2022 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
08.02.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
17.08.2021 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-1
AWAY Swindon Town
0.99 xG 1.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
272 Passes 259
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers and Swindon Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tranmere Rovers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 50% of the ball to Swindon Town's 50%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.99 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 0.83 for Swindon Town.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town?

Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 42%, draw 27%, Swindon Town 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tranmere Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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