Gillingham vs Grimsby Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Gillingham v Grimsby Town — Team-Based Signals
Gillingham vs Grimsby Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Gillingham 0-1 Grimsby Town — Actual Match Statistics
Grimsby Town squeezed past Gillingham 1-0 away from home.
A gentle 48% lean on Gillingham didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in Gillingham's favour, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.56 to 0.46 — on chances, Gillingham could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Gillingham against 1.33 for Grimsby Town.
Gillingham vs Grimsby Town Result & Final Score
Gillingham 0 - 1 Grimsby Town in the England - League Two on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Gillingham vs Grimsby Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 48%, draw 28%, Grimsby Town 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gillingham), BTTS Yes went the other way.