Bromley 2-2 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.73
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.35
X/1
9%
6.59
X/2
16%
4.79
X/X
9%
4.55
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.03
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 1/X at 13.35 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromley EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.09/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.89
+37% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +144% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 67%
11.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
17.7 Crosses 21.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromley
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Chesterfield
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Bromley Bromley 4-3 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
03.10.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Bromley Bromley İBSL
07.05.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-2 HT 0-1 Bromley Bromley İBSL
22.04.2023 Bromley Bromley 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
22.10.2022 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-2 HT 1-0 Bromley Bromley İBSL
30.04.2022 Bromley Bromley 4-2 HT 3-2 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromley
2-2
AWAY Chesterfield
2.09 xG 2.29
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
139 Passes 366
60% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bromley vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley and Chesterfield couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bromley had 36% of the ball to Chesterfield's 64%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.09 to 2.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bromley and 2.17 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Bromley vs Chesterfield?

Bromley 2-2 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromley vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bromley 28%, draw 27%, Chesterfield 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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