Bromley 4-3 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Feb 2024

Bromley
4-3 HT 0-1
Chesterfield
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Bromley vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.14
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.95
1/X
9%
15.9
X/1
8%
9.66
X/2
15%
3.87
X/X
7%
5.86
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.05
2/X
7%
15.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.95 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-8.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bromley v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromley EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 61%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.37/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.04
+23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Bromley vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromley
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chesterfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Bromley Bromley İBSL
07.05.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-2 HT 0-1 Bromley Bromley İBSL
22.04.2023 Bromley Bromley 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
22.10.2022 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-2 HT 1-0 Bromley Bromley İBSL
30.04.2022 Bromley Bromley 4-2 HT 3-2 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
04.09.2021 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-2 HT 1-1 Bromley Bromley İBSL

Bromley 4-3 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromley
4-3
AWAY Chesterfield
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bromley vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley nicked a narrow win over Chesterfield 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bromley had 38% of the ball to Chesterfield's 62%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bromley and 2.00 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Bromley vs Chesterfield?

Bromley 4-3 Chesterfield in the England - National League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromley vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bromley 29%, draw 23%, Chesterfield 48%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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