Notts County 1-0 Carlisle United — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — England - League Two, 28 Jan 2025

Notts County WLWWD→
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Carlisle United WLLLW→
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - League Two – 2024/2025

Notts County vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 19:20
Match Result
HomeVIEW
64%
1.54
Draw
20%
4.09
Away
16%
4.76
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.05
Over
56%
1.7
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.93
2-3
45%
1.8
4-5
26%
2.89
6+
8%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.92
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.55
X/1
20%
4.06
X/2
6%
11.0
X/X
12%
6.18
2/1
4%
20.65
2/2
9%
8.67
2/X
4%
17.35
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Notts County v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Notts County The Market 65%
Signal
AWAY Carlisle United The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.32 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.52
Great Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 68%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Notts County vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Carlisle United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
443 Passes 426
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 43
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2024 Carlisle United Carlisle United 0-2 HT 0-2 Notts County Notts County İN2
12.03.2019 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-3 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
27.11.2018 Notts County Notts County 1-1 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
13.02.2018 Notts County Notts County 2-1 HT 2-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
21.10.2017 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-1 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
08.04.2017 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-2 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN2

Notts County 1-0 Carlisle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
1 - 0
AWAY Carlisle United
0.80 xG 0.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
438 Passes 458
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Notts County vs Carlisle United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Notts County shaded a tight game against Carlisle United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Notts County had 49% of the ball to Carlisle United's 51%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Notts County and 0.83 for Carlisle United.

Notts County vs Carlisle United Result & Final Score

Notts County 1 - 0 Carlisle United in the England - League Two on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Notts County vs Carlisle United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Notts County 64%, draw 20%, Carlisle United 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Notts County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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