Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2025

Grimsby Town
1-1 HT 0-1
Gillingham
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Grimsby Town vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.45 — our 35% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
9%
6.39
X/X
18%
4.13
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.1
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grimsby Town v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.36/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.13
-19% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 63%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.5 Crosses 18.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Grimsby Town vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gillingham
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.69 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
223 Passes 252
64% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 0-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
16.03.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
02.09.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
14.02.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 2-1 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
13.09.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
21.03.2009 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2

Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-1
AWAY Gillingham
1.47 xG 0.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
273 Passes 177
67% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town and Gillingham couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grimsby Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 58% of the ball to Gillingham's 42%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.47 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grimsby Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grimsby Town and 0.67 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Gillingham?

Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 42%, draw 30%, Gillingham 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Grimsby Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
28 Jan 2025
22:45 Swindon Town vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →
22:45 Bradford City vs Morecambe Analysis →
22:45 Notts County vs Carlisle United Analysis →
22:45 Milton Keynes Dons vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
22:45 Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
22:45 Chesterfield vs Bromley Analysis →