Morecambe 1-0 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 26% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+9.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
48%
-10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 52%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.98/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
221 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.20
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
167 Passes 347
58% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 1-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
26.12.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 2-2 HT 0-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
19.08.2023 Morecambe Morecambe 3-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
08.05.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 2-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
16.02.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
01.01.2020 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
1-0
AWAY Bradford City
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe squeezed past Bradford City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Morecambe made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Morecambe had 53% of the ball to Bradford City's 47%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Morecambe and 1.00 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Bradford City?

Morecambe 1-0 Bradford City in the England - FA Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 36%, draw 27%, Bradford City 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bradford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5
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