Morecambe 1-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.03
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
12%
6.84
X/2
17%
4.58
X/X
10%
4.64
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.87
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -40%
1.40/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.94
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
244 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 71%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
18.1 Crosses 20.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bradford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
178 Passes 331
60% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 2-2 HT 0-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
19.08.2023 Morecambe Morecambe 3-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
08.05.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 2-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
16.02.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
01.01.2020 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
12.10.2019 Morecambe Morecambe 1-2 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
1-1
AWAY Bradford City
1.67 xG 0.93
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
159 Passes 339
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 42
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe and Bradford City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Morecambe had 37% of the ball to Bradford City's 63%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.67 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Morecambe and 1.17 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Bradford City?

Morecambe 1-1 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 32%, draw 26%, Bradford City 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bradford City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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