Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 6 Feb 2024

Bristol Rovers
0-2 HT 0-1
Fleetwood Town
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.03
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.75
X/1
15%
3.93
X/2
10%
10.15
X/X
11%
5.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.2
2/2
11%
7.44
2/X
10%
15.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol Rovers v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.26/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.44
-17% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.4 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 1.39
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
259 Passes 277
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.04.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
12.11.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-2 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
06.02.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
14.11.2020 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-4 HT 0-2 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
25.01.2020 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
29.12.2019 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1

Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
0-2
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.36 xG 0.99
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
416 Passes 178
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town got the better of Bristol Rovers 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bristol Rovers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 66% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 34%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.36 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bristol Rovers and 1.17 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?

Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood Town in the England - 1st Division on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 47%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bristol Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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